{
 "releve_le": "2026-09-30",
 "_licence": "CC BY 4.0 — compilation Stéphane Lalut ; source Eurostat",
 "meta": {
  "releve_le": "2026-09-30",
  "page": "https://stephane-lalut.com/pourquoi-la-dette-publique-augmente/",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "pays": "France",
  "perimetre": "administrations publiques (S.13), SEC 2010",
  "identite": "d_t - d_{t-1} = i/(1+g) d_{t-1} - g/(1+g) d_{t-1} - pb_t + sfa_t",
  "definitions": {
   "effet_interets": "intérêts de l'année rapportés au PIB, via le taux implicite appliqué à la dette de départ",
   "effet_croissance": "érosion du ratio par la hausse du PIB nominal (croissance réelle et inflation)",
   "contribution_solde_primaire": "déficit hors intérêts, en points de PIB (négatif en cas d'excédent)",
   "flux_stock": "variation de dette qui ne passe pas par le déficit (trésorerie, actifs, valorisation) ; résidu, contrôlé par une seconde identité comptable (variation de dette moins déficit)"
  }
 },
 "depart": {
  "annee": 1995,
  "dette_pct_pib": 57.50083038107219
 },
 "annees": [
  {
   "annee": 1996,
   "dette_pct_pib": 59.97852922321321,
   "variation": 2.4776988421410167,
   "effet_interets": 3.577938887983954,
   "effet_croissance": -1.8045891641027108,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 1.7733497238812432,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.27867239347722744,
   "flux_stock": 0.425676724782546,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 6.424022177808708,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 3.240055566896838,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.27867239347722744
  },
  {
   "annee": 1997,
   "dette_pct_pib": 62.484341371468396,
   "variation": 2.5058121482551883,
   "effet_interets": 3.5797192054007163,
   "effet_croissance": -0.9173950296460609,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 2.662324175754655,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.16172570788413215,
   "flux_stock": -0.31823773538359906,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 6.06104040208326,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 1.5532973454918553,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.16172570788413215
  },
  {
   "annee": 1998,
   "dette_pct_pib": 62.495829858371046,
   "variation": 0.011488486902649697,
   "effet_interets": 3.407559798691015,
   "effet_croissance": -2.7304034608500656,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 0.6771563378409495,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": -1.0009909669294221,
   "flux_stock": 0.3353231159911223,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 5.702653110140024,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 4.569411751463615,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": 1.0009909669294221
  },
  {
   "annee": 1999,
   "dette_pct_pib": 61.423125001791924,
   "variation": -1.0727048565791222,
   "effet_interets": 3.078046200116404,
   "effet_croissance": -2.5696141450560352,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 0.5084320550603687,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": -1.5338157672160948,
   "flux_stock": -0.04732114442339608,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 5.1363934189365015,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 4.287963313667231,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": 1.5338157672160948
  },
  {
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   "dette_pct_pib": 59.7213755142203,
   "variation": -1.7017494875716253,
   "effet_interets": 2.9593069589342456,
   "effet_croissance": -3.2668006749584335,
   "effet_taux_croissance": -0.30749371602418796,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": -1.6466518581084864,
   "flux_stock": 0.25239608656104906,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 5.088538509248276,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 5.617275013116885,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": 1.6466518581084864
  },
  {
   "annee": 2001,
   "dette_pct_pib": 59.32225755028738,
   "variation": -0.3991179639329161,
   "effet_interets": 3.0525644269164256,
   "effet_croissance": -2.2073871101535265,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 0.8451773167628991,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": -1.6352052705531492,
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   "taux_implicite_pct": 5.30751650445543,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 3.838000408953457,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": 1.6352052705531492
  },
  {
   "annee": 2002,
   "dette_pct_pib": 61.25602725512985,
   "variation": 1.9337697048424687,
   "effet_interets": 3.028104888558188,
   "effet_croissance": -1.813855000352336,
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   "croissance_nominale_pct": 3.15406952710493,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.1474596193547309
  },
  {
   "annee": 2003,
   "dette_pct_pib": 65.36386817634676,
   "variation": 4.107840921216905,
   "effet_interets": 2.876023662021282,
   "effet_croissance": -1.6607075362692283,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 1.2153161257520535,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 1.2117823393860911,
   "flux_stock": 1.68074245607876,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 4.825922028086851,
   "croissance_nominale_pct": 2.786640870631407,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -1.2117823393860911
  },
  {
   "annee": 2004,
   "dette_pct_pib": 66.87941455604499,
   "variation": 1.515546379698236,
   "effet_interets": 2.801154667241945,
   "effet_croissance": -2.843876079146791,
   "effet_taux_croissance": -0.04272141190484602,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.754032305849446,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.754032305849446
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  {
   "annee": 2005,
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   "variation": 1.3066339828226035,
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   "effet_croissance": -2.502786159435759,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.792050067657079
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  {
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   "variation": -2.785230736597981,
   "effet_interets": 2.603443038128281,
   "effet_croissance": -3.1016952098043538,
   "effet_taux_croissance": -0.49825217167607283,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.05430599698551608,
   "flux_stock": -2.3412845619074245,
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   "croissance_nominale_pct": 4.76565418745476,
   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.05430599698551608
  },
  {
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   "variation": 0.07594663310739236,
   "effet_interets": 2.68826240353938,
   "effet_croissance": -3.100004277691186,
   "effet_taux_croissance": -0.41174187415180574,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.30138662617423,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.30138662617423
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  {
   "annee": 2008,
   "dette_pct_pib": 69.81918640490248,
   "variation": 4.342421969525475,
   "effet_interets": 2.8728295788185294,
   "effet_croissance": -1.7150111044594234,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 1.157818474359106,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.6291860245004058,
   "flux_stock": 2.555417470665963,
   "taux_implicite_pct": 4.5055686657623895,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -0.6291860245004058
  },
  {
   "annee": 2009,
   "dette_pct_pib": 84.05560541619086,
   "variation": 14.236419011288376,
   "effet_interets": 2.545742153717027,
   "effet_croissance": 1.9533493653537717,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 4.499091519070799,
   "contribution_solde_primaire": 4.832650959516183,
   "flux_stock": 4.904676532701394,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -4.832650959516183
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  {
   "annee": 2010,
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   "variation": 2.2223206999156986,
   "effet_interets": 2.540380369456039,
   "effet_croissance": -2.5365182836476037,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 0.0038620858084352783,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -4.6116801917923835
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  {
   "annee": 2011,
   "dette_pct_pib": 88.74931175912573,
   "variation": 2.4713856430191754,
   "effet_interets": 2.7154151504838606,
   "effet_croissance": -2.7641476720095572,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -2.5890465125233413
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  {
   "annee": 2012,
   "dette_pct_pib": 91.74196244222597,
   "variation": 2.992650683100237,
   "effet_interets": 2.630903122641158,
   "effet_croissance": -1.1111392802223417,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -2.540187609297133
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  {
   "annee": 2013,
   "dette_pct_pib": 94.55780429654153,
   "variation": 2.8158418543155648,
   "effet_interets": 2.3310281656549563,
   "effet_croissance": -1.387375545588654,
   "effet_taux_croissance": 0.9436526200663022,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -2.607387952914797
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  {
   "annee": 2014,
   "dette_pct_pib": 96.16439938634922,
   "variation": 1.6065950898076835,
   "effet_interets": 2.1969203147780942,
   "effet_croissance": -1.4655729518126985,
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   "solde_primaire_pct_pib": -1.572540325756579
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  {
   "annee": 2018,
   "dette_pct_pib": 98.52992074087271,
   "variation": -0.2310452838414534,
   "effet_interets": 1.7687551149232719,
   "effet_croissance": -2.6702151645919057,
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   "contribution_solde_primaire": 0.5500468972338359,
   "flux_stock": 0.12036786859334447,
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  {
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   "effet_interets": 1.884727307219666,
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 "affichage": {
  "annee_depart": "1995",
  "annee_fin": "2025",
  "dette_depart": "57,5",
  "dette_fin": "115,7",
  "hausse": "58,2",
  "effet_interets": "74,0",
  "effet_croissance": "72,3",
  "effet_net": "+1,6",
  "deficits_primaires": "50,5",
  "flux_stock": "+6,0",
  "part_deficits": "87",
  "p1_lib": "1996-2007",
  "p1_hausse": "+8,0",
  "p1_taux_croissance": "+7,8",
  "p1_deficits": "−2,1",
  "p1_flux": "+2,2",
  "p2_lib": "2008-2019",
  "p2_hausse": "+32,7",
  "p2_taux_croissance": "+6,1",
  "p2_deficits": "+26,9",
  "p2_flux": "−0,3",
  "p3_lib": "2020-2025",
  "p3_hausse": "+17,5",
  "p3_taux_croissance": "−12,3",
  "p3_deficits": "+25,7",
  "p3_flux": "+4,1",
  "effet_2021_2023": "16,8",
  "deficits_2021_2023": "11,5",
  "hausse_2009": "14,2",
  "deficits_2009": "4,8",
  "taux_croissance_2009": "4,5",
  "hausse_2020": "16,7",
  "deficits_2020": "7,7",
  "taux_croissance_2020": "6,1",
  "net_dernier": "+0,1",
  "taux_implicite_dernier": "2,02",
  "croissance_derniere": "1,9",
  "annees_excedent": "4",
  "annees_total": "30"
 }
}